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jmecklenborg

2019 Hurricane Season

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Well it keeps getting shifted westward. Even a 30 mile shift makes a huge difference in wind, surge, and rain. Florida is not off the hook in the slightest. As for Georgia and the Carolinas it's looking like Michael. Not good.

 

As for right now, the Grand Bahamas are getting obliterated by the strongest landfall Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. And it'll be there for more than 24 hours. This thing is still strengthening and will probably surpass 1980 Allen for strongest sustained winds of 190MPH. That was in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico though. Dorian is poised to wreak much more havoc.

Edited by aderwent

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Not sure this is really political.  That said, based on the forecast, it needs to start turning north within hours if it's going to follow the projected path.  Little to no sign of that, yet.  If it passes over Freeport in the Bahamas instead of north,, the chances of it hitting Florida go up.  Meanwhile, the Carolinas look in increasing danger.

Needless to say, fake climate change certainly seems to be brining us a lot of Cat 5 hurricanes lately.  This is the 5th since 2016 when the average is only a few per decade over the long term, and most of them have been strong even for 5s.  Dorian is the strongest ever at this position.  Should it defy the expectations and hit anywhere in South Florida, it would easily be a $200+ billion disaster, dwarfing Katrina by far.  

Edited by jonoh81

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This is the "Current Events" section, not the "Politics" section, though politics do make up the majority of the threads.

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On ‎9‎/‎1‎/‎2019 at 1:32 PM, jmecklenborg said:

It looks like the Florida coast might luck out and only catch the weak side of Dorian. 

 

 

 

Well against all odds, Florida and virtually all of the eastern seaboard was spared a direct hit from this fearsome storm.  

 

I heard some idiot on NPR today claim that the storm's stalling over Grand Bahama was "symptomatic of climate change".  What about its sparing of the entire east coast?  Was that also thanks to climate change?  

 

 

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^ Next up is Newfoundland. I'm sure there will be all sorts of comments about climate change when Dorian strikes Canada, but this storm is actually following a patch that's quite similar to Canada's deadliest hurricane on record: a storm that skirted the outer banks of North Carolina before striking Newfoundland head on and killing an estimated 4000 people - in 1775, 244 years ago, almost to the day:

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1775_Newfoundland_hurricane

Edited by Ram23

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Hurricanes hitting far eastern Canada isn't common, but not rare, either.  It has nothing to do with climate change one way or another.

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25 minutes ago, jmecklenborg said:

 

They've been affected by remnants before, but this will probably be one of the strongest impacts ever from a previous hurricane.  As global sea temperatures continue to rise, we'll see more of these types of anomalous events.  

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